Stock Analysis

Takeda Pharmaceutical (TSE:4502) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥94.00

TSE:4502
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Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TSE:4502) will pay a dividend of ¥94.00 on the 1st of July. This will take the annual payment to 4.3% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

Check out our latest analysis for Takeda Pharmaceutical

Takeda Pharmaceutical's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before this announcement, Takeda Pharmaceutical was paying out 161% of what it was earning, and not generating any free cash flows either. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating free cash flows is a major warning sign for the sustainability of the dividend as these levels are certainly a bit high.

EPS is set to grow by 84.7% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 90% - on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

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TSE:4502 Historic Dividend March 28th 2024

Takeda Pharmaceutical Has A Solid Track Record

Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ¥180.00 total annually to ¥188.00. Dividend payments have been growing, but very slowly over the period. Slow and steady dividend growth might not sound that exciting, but dividends have been stable for ten years, which we think makes this a fairly attractive offer.

Takeda Pharmaceutical May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. It's not great to see that Takeda Pharmaceutical's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 4.2% per year over the past five years. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

Takeda Pharmaceutical's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Takeda Pharmaceutical has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.