Zenrin Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:9474) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥21.00 on 3rd of December. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 4.1%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Zenrin's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. The last payment made up 72% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 12.8%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 77%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
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Zenrin Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥20.00 total annually to ¥42.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.7% a year over that time. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Zenrin May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. However, Zenrin's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year.
In Summary
In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. The earnings coverage is acceptable for now, but with earnings on the decline we would definitely keep an eye on the payout ratio. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Given that earnings are not growing, the dividend does not look nearly so attractive. Businesses can change though, and we think it would make sense to see what analysts are forecasting for the company. Is Zenrin not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.