The board of Avex Inc. (TSE:7860) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥25.00 per share on the 12th of June. This means the annual payment is 4.3% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Avex's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 574% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. This high of a dividend payment could start to put pressure on the balance sheet in the future.
If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 36.2% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 914%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.
Check out our latest analysis for Avex
Avex Has A Solid Track Record
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The last annual payment of ¥50.00 was flat on the annual payment from10 years ago. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Over the past five years, it looks as though Avex's EPS has declined at around 36% a year. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.
Avex's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Avex's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Avex that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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