Stock Analysis

Improved Revenues Required Before Lancers, Inc. (TSE:4484) Shares Find Their Feet

TSE:4484
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x Lancers, Inc. (TSE:4484) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Interactive Media and Services companies in Japan have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Lancers

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4484 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

What Does Lancers' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The recent revenue growth at Lancers would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lancers, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Lancers' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.6% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 23% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 12% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Lancers' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Lancers revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Lancers that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lancers, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.