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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Mynet Inc.'s (TSE:3928) 38% Price Drop
Mynet Inc. (TSE:3928) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 38% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 35% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when close to half the companies operating in Japan's Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may still consider Mynet as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Mynet
How Has Mynet Performed Recently?
For instance, Mynet's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Mynet's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Mynet would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 27% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 2.2% in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum is still inferior based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, it's no surprise that Mynet's P/S falls short of its industry peers. However, when revenue shrink rapidly P/S often shrinks too, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment regardless. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth, which would be difficult to do with the current industry outlook.
What We Can Learn From Mynet's P/S?
Mynet's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Entertainment companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It's clear that Mynet trades at a low P/S relative to the wider industry on the weakness of its recent three-year revenue being even worse than the forecasts for a struggling industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. However, we're still cautious about the company's ability to prevent an acceleration of its recent medium-term course and resist even greater pain to its business from the broader industry turmoil. In the meantime, unless the company's relative performance improves, the share price will hit a barrier around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Mynet (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).
If you're unsure about the strength of Mynet's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3928
Adequate balance sheet low.