CyberStep, Inc.'s (TSE:3810) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.3x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in Japan have P/S ratios below 1.2x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for CyberStep
How Has CyberStep Performed Recently?
For example, consider that CyberStep's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on CyberStep will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is CyberStep's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as CyberStep's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 62% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that CyberStep is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On CyberStep's P/S
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that CyberStep currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with CyberStep (at least 3 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3810
CyberStep
Develops and publishes online games in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with slight risk.
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