Stock Analysis

Here's Why Hakuhodo DY Holdings (TSE:2433) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSE:2433
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Hakuhodo DY Holdings Inc (TSE:2433) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hakuhodo DY Holdings had JP¥156.8b of debt in December 2024, down from JP¥188.1b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥153.9b, its net debt is less, at about JP¥2.92b.

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TSE:2433 Debt to Equity History April 28th 2025

How Strong Is Hakuhodo DY Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hakuhodo DY Holdings had liabilities of JP¥376.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥183.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥153.9b as well as receivables valued at JP¥369.7b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥36.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Hakuhodo DY Holdings shares are worth a total of JP¥394.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Hakuhodo DY Holdings has a very light debt load indeed.

View our latest analysis for Hakuhodo DY Holdings

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hakuhodo DY Holdings has very modest net debt levels, with net debt at just 0.043 times EBITDA. Humorously, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt as easily as enthusiastic spray-tanners take on an orange hue. And we also note warmly that Hakuhodo DY Holdings grew its EBIT by 18% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hakuhodo DY Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hakuhodo DY Holdings reported free cash flow worth 10% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Hakuhodo DY Holdings's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Hakuhodo DY Holdings is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hakuhodo DY Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hakuhodo DY Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.