The board of Hakuhodo DY Holdings Inc (TSE:2433) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥16.00 per share on the 1st of July. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 2.2%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Hakuhodo DY Holdings
Hakuhodo DY Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 212% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.
Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 49% which is fairly sustainable.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥9.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥32.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 14% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Hakuhodo DY Holdings' EPS has declined at around 34% a year. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
We're Not Big Fans Of Hakuhodo DY Holdings' Dividend
In summary, while it is good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we think that at current levels the payment isn't particularly sustainable. The company's earnings aren't high enough to be making such big distributions, and it isn't backed up by strong growth or consistency either. The dividend doesn't inspire confidence that it will provide solid income in the future.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for Hakuhodo DY Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us. Is Hakuhodo DY Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About TSE:2433
Hakuhodo DY Holdings
Provides marketing and communications services in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.