Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For Tohokushinsha Film Corporation (TSE:2329) As Its Stock Soars 28%

TSE:2329
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Tohokushinsha Film Corporation (TSE:2329) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 70%.

After such a large jump in price, Tohokushinsha Film may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.7x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

The earnings growth achieved at Tohokushinsha Film over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Tohokushinsha Film

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:2329 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 3rd 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Tohokushinsha Film will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Tohokushinsha Film's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 28% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 392% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Tohokushinsha Film's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.

The Final Word

Tohokushinsha Film's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Tohokushinsha Film revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Tohokushinsha Film (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tohokushinsha Film's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tohokushinsha Film might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.