What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Nissen (TYO:6543) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Nissen:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.082 = JP¥304m ÷ (JP¥4.4b - JP¥711m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to November 2020).
So, Nissen has an ROCE of 8.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Media industry average of 10%.
See our latest analysis for Nissen
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Nissen, check out these free graphs here.
The Trend Of ROCE
There hasn't been much to report for Nissen's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. So don't be surprised if Nissen doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
The Bottom Line
In summary, Nissen isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Since the stock has declined 23% over the last three years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Nissen has the makings of a multi-bagger.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Nissen (including 1 which is concerning) .
While Nissen may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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About TSE:6543
Nissen
Engages in marketing management, strategy planning, solutions, consulting, and consumer survey businesses in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.