Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. (TSE:5713) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥63.00 per share on the 26th of June. This means that the dividend yield is 2.5%, which is a bit low when comparing to other companies in the industry.
See our latest analysis for Sumitomo Metal Mining
Sumitomo Metal Mining's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 100% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 26%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 84.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 25%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ¥68.00 total annually to ¥98.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.7% per annum over that time. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. In the last five years, Sumitomo Metal Mining's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 6.7% per annum. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Sumitomo Metal Mining that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Sumitomo Metal Mining not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:5713
Sumitomo Metal Mining
Engages in mining, smelting, and refining non-ferrous metals in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.