Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding Nakayama Steel Works, Ltd. (TSE:5408)

TSE:5408
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Nakayama Steel Works, Ltd.'s (TSE:5408) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 20x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in Nakayama Steel Works. Read for free now.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Nakayama Steel Works over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Nakayama Steel Works

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:5408 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 15th 2025
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nakayama Steel Works, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Nakayama Steel Works' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 67% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 9.9% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Nakayama Steel Works' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Nakayama Steel Works revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Nakayama Steel Works you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Nakayama Steel Works, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.