Nippon Steel Corporation

TSE:5401 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥3.2t

Nippon Steel Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Nippon Steel is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 41.3% and 6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 42.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.2% in 3 years.

Key information

41.3%

Earnings growth rate

42.26%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth19.3%
Revenue growth rate6.0%
Future return on equity8.25%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated03 Oct 2025

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Beat: Nippon Steel Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Feb 10
Earnings Beat: Nippon Steel Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Nippon Steel Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Nov 09
Nippon Steel Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Recent updates

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥60.00

Sep 26
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥60.00

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Sep 12
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

These 4 Measures Indicate That Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Using Debt Extensively

Aug 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Using Debt Extensively

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Aug 07
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Jul 24
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥60.00

Jul 09
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥60.00

There May Be Reason For Hope In Nippon Steel's (TSE:5401) Disappointing Earnings

May 22
There May Be Reason For Hope In Nippon Steel's (TSE:5401) Disappointing Earnings

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Apr 29
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

The Return Trends At Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Look Promising

Apr 10
The Return Trends At Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Look Promising

Nippon Steel Corporation's (TSE:5401) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Mar 18
Nippon Steel Corporation's (TSE:5401) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Earnings Beat: Nippon Steel Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Feb 10
Earnings Beat: Nippon Steel Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Nippon Steel Corporation (TSE:5401)

Jan 13
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Nippon Steel Corporation (TSE:5401)

Nippon Steel Corporation (TSE:5401) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Dec 07
Nippon Steel Corporation (TSE:5401) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Why Nippon Steel's (TSE:5401) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Nov 19
Why Nippon Steel's (TSE:5401) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Nippon Steel Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Nov 09
Nippon Steel Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Is Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Using Too Much Debt?

Oct 11
Is Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Using Too Much Debt?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:5401 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/202811,342,869470,903-22,180N/A9
3/31/202710,679,922441,043-174,600N/A11
3/31/20269,883,46169,532-2,332,950N/A10
6/30/20258,512,766-3,165N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20258,695,526350,227380,655978,593N/A
12/31/20248,778,779470,535N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20248,835,411492,484250,233760,863N/A
6/30/20248,859,820529,867N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20248,868,097549,372543,8141,010,159N/A
12/31/20238,655,720617,786375,158859,824N/A
9/30/20238,513,601621,879487,775951,875N/A
6/30/20238,256,191640,108320,161793,486N/A
3/31/20237,975,586694,016191,256661,274N/A
12/31/20227,828,091646,571154,331630,638N/A
9/30/20227,519,353710,96684,775556,385N/A
6/30/20227,224,920706,164127,885589,443N/A
3/31/20226,808,890637,321148,733615,635N/A
12/31/20216,321,936599,262204,344654,631N/A
9/30/20215,751,223457,459156,428614,231N/A
6/30/20215,200,819171,76832,113495,341N/A
3/31/20214,829,272-32,432-56,626403,185N/A
12/31/20204,895,328-197,934-87,904366,584N/A
9/30/20205,116,334-661,427-146,365320,738N/A
6/30/20205,530,650-506,909-46,621417,351N/A
3/31/20205,921,525-431,51333,775494,330N/A
12/31/20196,134,858-337,849N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20196,321,662148,637N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20196,259,543188,140N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20196,177,947251,169N/A452,341N/A
12/31/20186,023,210270,644N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20185,827,035237,190N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20185,754,080220,063N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20185,712,965180,832N/A485,539N/A
12/31/20175,465,442227,594N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20175,217,193219,090N/A461,081N/A
6/30/20174,937,215216,936N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20174,696,828137,246N/A506,935N/A
12/31/20164,523,50651,796N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20164,560,66036,311N/A534,291N/A
6/30/20164,693,63758,048N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20164,907,429145,419N/A562,956N/A
12/31/20155,144,202213,737N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20155,339,118222,163N/A599,388N/A
6/30/20155,513,562238,686N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20155,610,030214,293N/A710,998N/A
12/31/20145,660,446203,556N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 5401 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (0.5%).

Earnings vs Market: 5401 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 5401 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 5401's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (4.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 5401's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 5401's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.2%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/05 02:45
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nippon Steel Corporation is covered by 32 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Toshiyuki JohnoBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Takashi EnomotoBofA Global Research
Toshiyuki JohnoCitigroup Global Markets Japan Inc.