Nippon Steel Corporation

TSE:5401 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥3.2t

Nippon Steel Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Nippon Steel is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 50.3% and 4.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 50.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.6% in 3 years.

Key information

50.3%

Earnings growth rate

50.34%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth18.9%
Revenue growth rate4.7%
Future return on equity7.62%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Feb 11
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Jan 24
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Reducing Its Dividend To ¥12.00

Jan 10
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Reducing Its Dividend To ¥12.00

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥12.00

Dec 19
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥12.00

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Dec 05
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥60.00

Sep 26
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥60.00

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Sep 12
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

These 4 Measures Indicate That Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Using Debt Extensively

Aug 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Using Debt Extensively

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Aug 07
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Jul 24
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥60.00

Jul 09
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To ¥60.00

There May Be Reason For Hope In Nippon Steel's (TSE:5401) Disappointing Earnings

May 22
There May Be Reason For Hope In Nippon Steel's (TSE:5401) Disappointing Earnings

Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Apr 29
Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

The Return Trends At Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Look Promising

Apr 10
The Return Trends At Nippon Steel (TSE:5401) Look Promising

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:5401 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/202811,538,309433,730-92,225N/A9
3/31/202711,066,665390,960-193,275N/A10
3/31/202610,092,149-35,808-2,557,600N/A10
12/31/20259,399,351-56,852N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20258,951,438-6,500257,828971,443N/A
6/30/20258,512,766-3,165N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20258,695,526350,227380,655978,593N/A
12/31/20248,778,779470,535N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20248,835,411492,484250,233760,863N/A
6/30/20248,859,820529,867N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20248,868,097549,372543,8141,010,159N/A
12/31/20238,655,720617,786375,158859,824N/A
9/30/20238,513,601621,879487,775951,875N/A
6/30/20238,256,191640,108320,161793,486N/A
3/31/20237,975,586694,016191,256661,274N/A
12/31/20227,828,091646,571154,331630,638N/A
9/30/20227,519,353710,96684,775556,385N/A
6/30/20227,224,920706,164127,885589,443N/A
3/31/20226,808,890637,321148,733615,635N/A
12/31/20216,321,936599,262204,344654,631N/A
9/30/20215,751,223457,459156,428614,231N/A
6/30/20215,200,819171,76832,113495,341N/A
3/31/20214,829,272-32,432-56,626403,185N/A
12/31/20204,895,328-197,934-87,904366,584N/A
9/30/20205,116,334-661,427-146,365320,738N/A
6/30/20205,530,650-506,909-46,621417,351N/A
3/31/20205,921,525-431,51333,775494,330N/A
12/31/20196,134,858-337,849N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20196,321,662148,637N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20196,259,543188,140N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20196,177,947251,169N/A452,341N/A
12/31/20186,023,210270,644N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20185,827,035237,190N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20185,754,080220,063N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20185,712,965180,832N/A485,539N/A
12/31/20175,465,442227,594N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20175,217,193219,090N/A461,081N/A
6/30/20174,937,215216,936N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20174,696,828137,246N/A506,935N/A
12/31/20164,523,50651,796N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20164,560,66036,311N/A534,291N/A
6/30/20164,693,63758,048N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20164,907,429145,419N/A562,956N/A
12/31/20155,144,202213,737N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20155,339,118222,163N/A599,388N/A
6/30/20155,513,562238,686N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20155,610,030214,293N/A710,998N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 5401 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (0.7%).

Earnings vs Market: 5401 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 5401 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 5401's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (5.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 5401's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 5401's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/19 14:31
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/19 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nippon Steel Corporation is covered by 25 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takashi EnomotoBofA Global Research
Minami MunakataCitigroup Inc
Yifan ZhangCLSA