Stock Analysis

Fujikura Kasei's (TSE:4620) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

TSE:4620
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Fujikura Kasei Co., Ltd. (TSE:4620) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

Check out our latest analysis for Fujikura Kasei

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:4620 Earnings and Revenue History November 24th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Fujikura Kasei issued 5.1% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Fujikura Kasei's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Fujikura Kasei's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

As it happens, we don't know how much the company made or lost three years ago, because we don't have the data. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 466%. But EPS was less impressive, up only 472% in that time. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Fujikura Kasei can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Fujikura Kasei.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Fujikura Kasei's profit was boosted by unusual items worth JP¥267m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Fujikura Kasei's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Fujikura Kasei got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Fujikura Kasei's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Fujikura Kasei (1 is concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at these bad boys before investing.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.