Adeka Corporation

TSE:4401 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥294.6b

Adeka Valuation

Is 4401 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4401 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4401 (¥2836) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7600.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4401 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4401?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4401 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.9x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4401's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4401 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.3x
4205 Zeon
7.9x-0.5%JP¥267.3b
3401 Teijin
18.9x-7.5%JP¥254.4b
4118 Kaneka
8.9x6.6%JP¥233.9b
7966 LINTEC
21.6x16.2%JP¥217.9b
4401 Adeka
11.7x9.5%JP¥294.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4401 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (14.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4401's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4401 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4401's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4401 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio13.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4401 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4401 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,836.00
JP¥3,922.86
+38.3%
8.1%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,400.00n/a7
Sep ’25JP¥3,020.00
JP¥3,916.67
+29.7%
8.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,400.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥3,125.00
JP¥3,900.00
+24.8%
8.1%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,400.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥3,228.00
JP¥3,831.43
+18.7%
8.5%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,400.00n/a7
Jun ’25JP¥3,372.00
JP¥3,731.43
+10.7%
5.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00n/a7
May ’25JP¥3,249.00
JP¥3,688.57
+13.5%
4.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥3,157.00
JP¥3,660.00
+15.9%
4.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥3,134.00
JP¥3,602.86
+15.0%
5.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥2,853.00
JP¥3,502.86
+22.8%
7.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00n/a7
Jan ’25JP¥2,870.00
JP¥3,453.33
+20.3%
9.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥2,869.00
JP¥3,400.00
+18.5%
9.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥2,537.50
JP¥3,380.00
+33.2%
10.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00n/a5
Oct ’24JP¥2,556.50
JP¥3,313.33
+29.6%
10.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,880.00n/a6
Sep ’24JP¥2,804.50
JP¥3,305.00
+17.8%
10.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,880.00JP¥3,020.006
Aug ’24JP¥2,865.00
JP¥3,221.67
+12.4%
12.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥3,125.006
Jul ’24JP¥2,735.50
JP¥3,171.67
+15.9%
13.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥3,228.006
Jun ’24JP¥2,438.00
JP¥3,071.67
+26.0%
15.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,550.00JP¥3,372.006
May ’24JP¥2,325.00
JP¥3,038.33
+30.7%
15.5%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,550.00JP¥3,249.006
Apr ’24JP¥2,258.00
JP¥3,100.00
+37.3%
15.5%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥3,157.005
Mar ’24JP¥2,220.00
JP¥3,160.00
+42.3%
20.5%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥3,134.005
Feb ’24JP¥2,169.00
JP¥3,340.00
+54.0%
18.1%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,853.005
Jan ’24JP¥2,164.00
JP¥3,500.00
+61.7%
16.4%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,870.004
Dec ’23JP¥2,260.00
JP¥3,475.00
+53.8%
16.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,869.004
Nov ’23JP¥2,228.00
JP¥3,625.00
+62.7%
19.1%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,537.504
Oct ’23JP¥2,161.00
JP¥3,625.00
+67.7%
19.1%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,556.504
Sep ’23JP¥2,312.00
JP¥3,625.00
+56.8%
19.1%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,804.504

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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