Kaneka Corporation

TSE:4118 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥215.7b

Kaneka Valuation

Is 4118 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4118 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4118 (¥3428) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7421.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4118 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4118?

Key metric: As 4118 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4118. This is calculated by dividing 4118's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4118's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.8x
EarningsJP¥24.49b
Market CapJP¥215.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4118's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4118 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
7966 LINTEC
14.9x11.1%JP¥209.4b
5301 Tokai Carbon
20.5x29.6%JP¥199.5b
4061 Denka
20.8x44.3%JP¥178.6b
4401 Adeka
12x10.6%JP¥288.0b
4118 Kaneka
8.8x9.1%JP¥215.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4118 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (17x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4118's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$31.08m
No more companies available in this PE range
4118 8.8xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4118 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4118's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4118 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.8x
Fair PE Ratio12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4118 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4118 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,428.00
JP¥4,504.29
+31.4%
14.0%JP¥5,790.00JP¥3,900.00n/a7
Nov ’25JP¥3,690.00
JP¥4,504.29
+22.1%
14.0%JP¥5,790.00JP¥3,900.00n/a7
Oct ’25JP¥3,902.00
JP¥4,504.29
+15.4%
14.0%JP¥5,790.00JP¥3,900.00n/a7
Sep ’25JP¥3,767.00
JP¥4,474.29
+18.8%
11.0%JP¥5,480.00JP¥3,900.00n/a7
Aug ’25JP¥4,118.00
JP¥4,548.57
+10.5%
9.7%JP¥5,480.00JP¥3,900.00n/a7
Jul ’25JP¥4,253.00
JP¥4,341.43
+2.1%
12.5%JP¥5,480.00JP¥3,850.00n/a7
Jun ’25JP¥4,223.00
JP¥4,105.71
-2.8%
14.2%JP¥5,480.00JP¥3,600.00n/a7
May ’25JP¥4,091.00
JP¥4,105.71
+0.4%
14.2%JP¥5,480.00JP¥3,600.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥3,787.00
JP¥4,032.86
+6.5%
12.0%JP¥5,170.00JP¥3,600.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥3,665.00
JP¥4,146.00
+13.1%
12.6%JP¥5,170.00JP¥3,800.00n/a5
Feb ’25JP¥3,565.00
JP¥4,146.00
+16.3%
12.6%JP¥5,170.00JP¥3,800.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥3,582.00
JP¥4,186.00
+16.9%
12.0%JP¥5,170.00JP¥3,810.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥3,743.00
JP¥4,508.33
+20.4%
14.1%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,000.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥3,771.00
JP¥4,508.33
+19.6%
14.1%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,690.006
Oct ’24JP¥3,882.00
JP¥4,508.33
+16.1%
14.1%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,902.006
Sep ’24JP¥4,164.00
JP¥4,511.67
+8.3%
16.5%JP¥6,100.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,767.006
Aug ’24JP¥4,163.00
JP¥4,345.71
+4.4%
17.9%JP¥6,100.00JP¥3,700.00JP¥4,118.007
Jul ’24JP¥4,021.00
JP¥4,202.86
+4.5%
20.5%JP¥6,100.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,253.007
Jun ’24JP¥3,725.00
JP¥4,085.71
+9.7%
17.6%JP¥5,600.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,223.007
May ’24JP¥3,625.00
JP¥4,057.14
+11.9%
18.2%JP¥5,600.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,091.007
Apr ’24JP¥3,450.00
JP¥4,057.14
+17.6%
18.2%JP¥5,600.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,787.007
Mar ’24JP¥3,445.00
JP¥4,007.14
+16.3%
19.2%JP¥5,800.00JP¥3,390.00JP¥3,665.007
Feb ’24JP¥3,380.00
JP¥4,021.43
+19.0%
18.9%JP¥5,800.00JP¥3,390.00JP¥3,565.007
Jan ’24JP¥3,290.00
JP¥4,121.43
+25.3%
18.3%JP¥5,800.00JP¥3,390.00JP¥3,582.007
Dec ’23JP¥3,520.00
JP¥4,845.00
+37.6%
25.4%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,743.006
Nov ’23JP¥3,680.00
JP¥4,920.00
+33.7%
24.1%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,771.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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