Stock Analysis

Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of ¥16.00

TSE:4188
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The board of Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation (TSE:4188) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 4th of June, with investors receiving ¥16.00 per share. The dividend yield will be 4.0% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. The last dividend was quite easily covered by Mitsubishi Chemical Group's earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 22.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 53% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
TSE:4188 Historic Dividend March 26th 2025

See our latest analysis for Mitsubishi Chemical Group

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥12.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥32.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 10% per annum over that time. Mitsubishi Chemical Group has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. However, Mitsubishi Chemical Group has only grown its earnings per share at 3.6% per annum over the past five years. Growth of 3.6% may indicate that the company has limited investment opportunity so it is returning its earnings to shareholders instead. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.

Our Thoughts On Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Dividend

In summary, we are pleased with the dividend remaining consistent, and we think there is a good chance of this continuing in the future. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Mitsubishi Chemical Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Mitsubishi Chemical Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.