Stock Analysis

Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company, Inc. (TSE:4182) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

TSE:4182
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There wouldn't be many who think Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company, Inc.'s (TSE:4182) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Japan is similar at about 14x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

See our latest analysis for Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4182 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 3rd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 20%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 12% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.6% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.