Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Air Water Inc.'s (TSE:4088) Share Price

TSE:4088
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.8x Air Water Inc. (TSE:4088) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Air Water has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Air Water

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4088 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 18th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Air Water's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Air Water's Growth Trending?

Air Water's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 18% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 37% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.1% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.3% per year, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it odd that Air Water is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Air Water's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Air Water that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.