Denka Valuation
Is 4061 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4061 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4061 (¥2322) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥22298.12)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4061 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4061?
Key metric: As 4061 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 4061's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.5x |
| Sales | JP¥399.09b |
| Market Cap | JP¥197.86b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9.9x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 4061's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.8x | ||
5301 Tokai Carbon | 0.7x | 5.50% | JP¥224.4b |
3401 Teijin | 0.3x | -1.13% | JP¥252.3b |
7970 Shin-Etsu PolymerLtd | 1.4x | 4.48% | JP¥156.1b |
7966 LINTEC | 0.8x | 2.07% | JP¥243.2b |
4061 Denka | 0.5x | 3.12% | JP¥197.9b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4061 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does 4061's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?
| 1 Company | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
7886 Yamato Mobility & Mfg.Ltd | 0.09x | n/a | US$8.96m |
| 1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4061 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (0.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4061's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.5x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.6x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4061 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | JP¥2,322.00 | JP¥2,155.00 -7.19% | 16.84% | JP¥2,700.00 | JP¥1,650.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Sep ’26 | JP¥2,257.50 | JP¥2,255.00 -0.11% | 17.77% | JP¥2,700.00 | JP¥1,650.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’26 | JP¥2,143.00 | JP¥2,255.00 +5.23% | 17.77% | JP¥2,700.00 | JP¥1,650.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’26 | JP¥1,985.50 | JP¥2,337.14 +17.71% | 16.77% | JP¥2,700.00 | JP¥1,650.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Jun ’26 | JP¥2,056.50 | JP¥2,465.71 +19.90% | 19.44% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥1,800.00 | n/a | 7 |
| May ’26 | JP¥1,947.50 | JP¥2,462.86 +26.46% | 19.61% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥1,800.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Apr ’26 | JP¥2,127.50 | JP¥2,491.43 +17.11% | 17.97% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥1,810.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Mar ’26 | JP¥2,077.50 | JP¥2,468.57 +18.82% | 16.76% | JP¥3,040.00 | JP¥1,810.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Feb ’26 | JP¥2,212.50 | JP¥2,477.14 +11.96% | 16.16% | JP¥3,040.00 | JP¥1,870.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’26 | JP¥2,231.50 | JP¥2,507.14 +12.35% | 17.56% | JP¥3,100.00 | JP¥1,780.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’25 | JP¥2,121.00 | JP¥2,585.00 +21.88% | 20.58% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥1,780.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Nov ’25 | JP¥2,144.00 | JP¥2,611.67 +21.81% | 18.90% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥1,940.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Oct ’25 | JP¥2,253.00 | JP¥2,586.67 +14.81% | 20.17% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥1,940.00 | JP¥2,250.00 | 6 |
| Sep ’25 | JP¥2,264.50 | JP¥2,498.33 +10.33% | 20.43% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥1,910.00 | JP¥2,257.50 | 6 |
| Aug ’25 | JP¥2,096.50 | JP¥2,431.67 +15.99% | 18.51% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥1,910.00 | JP¥2,143.00 | 6 |
| Jul ’25 | JP¥2,181.50 | JP¥2,540.00 +16.43% | 15.59% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥1,910.00 | JP¥1,985.50 | 6 |
| Jun ’25 | JP¥2,219.50 | JP¥2,656.67 +19.70% | 16.07% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥1,910.00 | JP¥2,056.50 | 6 |
| May ’25 | JP¥2,336.00 | JP¥2,718.57 +16.38% | 15.72% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥1,900.00 | JP¥1,947.50 | 7 |
| Apr ’25 | JP¥2,340.50 | JP¥2,742.86 +17.19% | 13.95% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥2,070.00 | JP¥2,127.50 | 7 |
| Mar ’25 | JP¥2,467.50 | JP¥2,760.00 +11.85% | 16.20% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥2,070.00 | JP¥2,077.50 | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | JP¥2,567.50 | JP¥2,830.00 +10.22% | 13.69% | JP¥3,230.00 | JP¥2,320.00 | JP¥2,212.50 | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | JP¥2,496.00 | JP¥2,885.00 +15.58% | 13.68% | JP¥3,400.00 | JP¥2,330.00 | JP¥2,231.50 | 6 |
| Dec ’24 | JP¥2,628.00 | JP¥3,101.43 +18.01% | 20.76% | JP¥4,400.00 | JP¥2,330.00 | JP¥2,121.00 | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | JP¥2,751.50 | JP¥3,137.14 +14.02% | 20.94% | JP¥4,400.00 | JP¥2,330.00 | JP¥2,144.00 | 7 |
| Oct ’24 | JP¥2,703.00 | JP¥3,284.29 +21.51% | 22.59% | JP¥4,400.00 | JP¥2,330.00 | JP¥2,253.00 | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/10/07 14:45 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/10/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Denka Company Limited is covered by 18 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Takashi Enomoto | BofA Global Research |
| Atsushi Ikeda | Citigroup Global Markets Japan Inc. |
| Atsushi Ikeda | Citigroup Inc |