Stock Analysis

We're Not Counting On Toin (TYO:7923) To Sustain Its Statutory Profitability

TSE:7923
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Broadly speaking, profitable businesses are less risky than unprofitable ones. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Toin (TYO:7923).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Toin made a profit of JP¥125.0m on revenue of JP¥11.6b. As you can see below, its profit has actually declined over the last three years, even though its revenue was flat.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
JASDAQ:7923 Earnings and Revenue History December 2nd 2020

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. This article will focus on the impact unusual items have had on Toin's statutory earnings. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Toin.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Importantly, our data indicates that Toin's profit received a boost of JP¥99m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Toin's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2020. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Toin's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant positive unusual item makes Toin'searnings a poor guide to its underlying profitability. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Toin's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Toin has 4 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Toin's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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