Stock Analysis

Do These 3 Checks Before Buying Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:6178) For Its Upcoming Dividend

TSE:6178
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Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:6178) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Meaning, you will need to purchase Japan Post Holdings' shares before the 28th of March to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 24th of June.

The company's upcoming dividend is JP¥25.00 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of JP¥50.00 per share to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Japan Post Holdings has a trailing yield of 3.2% on the current share price of JP¥1579.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Japan Post Holdings's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

View our latest analysis for Japan Post Holdings

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Last year Japan Post Holdings paid out 92% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings.

Generally, the higher a company's payout ratio, the more the dividend is at risk of being reduced.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
TSE:6178 Historic Dividend March 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Japan Post Holdings's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 5.3% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Japan Post Holdings's dividend payments are effectively flat on where they were eight years ago. If a company's dividend stays flat while earnings are in decline, this is typically a sign that it is paying out a larger percentage of its earnings. This can become unsustainable if earnings fall far enough.

To Sum It Up

Has Japan Post Holdings got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Not only are earnings per share shrinking, but Japan Post Holdings is paying out a disconcertingly high percentage of its profit as dividends. It's not that we hate the business, but we feel that these characeristics are not desirable for investors seeking a reliable dividend stock to own for the long term. These characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance, and investors may not be happy with the results of owning this stock for its dividend.

With that being said, if you're still considering Japan Post Holdings as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Japan Post Holdings (1 is significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying the shares.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.