Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that KOSÉ Corporation (TSE:4922) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is KOSÉ's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that KOSÉ had JP¥500.0m of debt in December 2023, down from JP¥1.36b, one year before. But it also has JP¥132.8b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥132.3b net cash.
How Healthy Is KOSÉ's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, KOSÉ had liabilities of JP¥70.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥18.4b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥132.8b and JP¥44.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast JP¥88.5b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that KOSÉ is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that KOSÉ has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
It is just as well that KOSÉ's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 28% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KOSÉ can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While KOSÉ has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, KOSÉ generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 95% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case KOSÉ has JP¥132.3b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of JP¥25b, being 95% of its EBIT. So we don't think KOSÉ's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for KOSÉ that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4922
KOSÉ
Manufactures, markets, and sells cosmetics primarily in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.