Stock Analysis

Does Advantage Risk Management (TSE:8769) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TSE:8769
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Advantage Risk Management Co., Ltd. (TSE:8769) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is Advantage Risk Management's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2024 Advantage Risk Management had debt of JP¥2.02b, up from JP¥339.0m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥1.55b, its net debt is less, at about JP¥476.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:8769 Debt to Equity History April 15th 2025

A Look At Advantage Risk Management's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Advantage Risk Management had liabilities of JP¥2.86b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥1.92b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥1.55b as well as receivables valued at JP¥1.33b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥1.90b.

Of course, Advantage Risk Management has a market capitalization of JP¥10.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

See our latest analysis for Advantage Risk Management

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Advantage Risk Management has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.26. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. On top of that, Advantage Risk Management grew its EBIT by 64% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Advantage Risk Management's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Advantage Risk Management's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, Advantage Risk Management's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. It's also worth noting that Advantage Risk Management is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Zooming out, Advantage Risk Management seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Advantage Risk Management (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.