Stock Analysis

Investors Can Find Comfort In Ifuji Sangyo's (TSE:2924) Earnings Quality

TSE:2924
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Ifuji Sangyo Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:2924) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price showed strength. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

View our latest analysis for Ifuji Sangyo

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:2924 Earnings and Revenue History November 19th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Ifuji Sangyo's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Ifuji Sangyo had an accrual ratio of -0.11. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. In fact, it had free cash flow of JP¥2.6b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of JP¥1.61b. Notably, Ifuji Sangyo had negative free cash flow last year, so the JP¥2.6b it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ifuji Sangyo.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Surprisingly, given Ifuji Sangyo's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by JP¥188m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Ifuji Sangyo doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Ifuji Sangyo's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Ifuji Sangyo's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Ifuji Sangyo's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Ifuji Sangyo at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Ifuji Sangyo and you'll want to know about them.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.