The board of Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. (TSE:2904) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 29th of September, with investors receiving ¥12.00 per share. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 1.6%.
See our latest analysis for Ichimasa Kamaboko
Ichimasa Kamaboko's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Based on the last payment, Ichimasa Kamaboko was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 4.6% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 23% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥5.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥12.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 9.1% per annum over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Ichimasa Kamaboko might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings have grown at around 4.6% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. While EPS growth is quite low, Ichimasa Kamaboko has the option to increase the payout ratio to return more cash to shareholders.
In Summary
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Ichimasa Kamaboko (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:2904
Ichimasa Kamaboko
Produces and sells fish-paste products under the Ichimasa brand name in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.