Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On House Foods Group Inc.'s (TSE:2810) First-Quarter Report

TSE:2810
Source: Shutterstock

The first-quarter results for House Foods Group Inc. (TSE:2810) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. House Foods Group reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of JP¥75b and statutory earnings per share of JP¥181, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for House Foods Group

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:2810 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 4th 2024

Following the latest results, House Foods Group's four analysts are now forecasting revenues of JP¥321.5b in 2025. This would be a satisfactory 5.8% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 6.4% to JP¥144. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥317.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥142 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of JP¥3,340, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values House Foods Group at JP¥3,900 per share, while the most bearish prices it at JP¥3,100. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that House Foods Group is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 7.8% annualised growth until the end of 2025. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 0.5% annual decline over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 3.6% annually. So it looks like House Foods Group is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on House Foods Group. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for House Foods Group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with House Foods Group , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if House Foods Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.