House Foods Group Inc.

TSE:2810 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥273.5b

House Foods Group Valuation

Is 2810 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2810 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2810 (¥2890) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2706.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2810 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2810?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2810 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.1x
PEG Ratio4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2810's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2810 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.2x
2206 Ezaki Glico
18.3x1.0%JP¥274.7b
1332 Nissui
11.3x5.7%JP¥269.9b
2201 Morinaga&Co
15.6x7.0%JP¥235.7b
2296 Itoham Yonekyu Holdings
15.8x4.9%JP¥246.1b
2810 House Foods Group
15.6x3.9%JP¥273.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2810 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2810's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2810 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the JP Food industry average (16x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2810's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2810 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio16.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2810 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2810 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,906.00
JP¥3,453.33
+18.8%
9.3%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,160.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥2,858.00
JP¥3,453.33
+20.8%
9.3%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,160.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥2,887.00
JP¥3,453.33
+19.6%
9.3%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,160.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥3,126.00
JP¥3,415.00
+9.2%
8.4%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,160.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥3,117.00
JP¥3,550.00
+13.9%
6.5%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,300.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥3,125.00
JP¥3,550.00
+13.6%
6.5%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,300.00n/a5
Feb ’25JP¥3,251.00
JP¥3,590.00
+10.4%
9.8%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,200.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥3,115.00
JP¥3,610.00
+15.9%
9.4%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,200.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥3,258.00
JP¥3,614.00
+10.9%
9.3%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,200.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥3,212.00
JP¥3,614.00
+12.5%
9.3%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,200.00n/a5
Oct ’24JP¥3,120.00
JP¥3,717.50
+19.2%
8.0%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,400.00n/a4
Sep ’24JP¥3,167.00
JP¥3,624.00
+14.4%
8.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,400.00n/a5
Aug ’24JP¥3,301.00
JP¥3,664.00
+11.0%
7.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,450.00n/a5
Jul ’24JP¥3,205.00
JP¥3,196.00
-0.3%
8.7%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,830.00JP¥2,858.005
Jun ’24JP¥3,210.00
JP¥2,996.00
-6.7%
11.4%JP¥3,450.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,887.005
May ’24JP¥3,040.00
JP¥2,996.00
-1.4%
11.4%JP¥3,450.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,126.005
Apr ’24JP¥2,810.00
JP¥2,966.00
+5.6%
10.3%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,117.005
Mar ’24JP¥2,696.00
JP¥3,106.00
+15.2%
11.2%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,125.005
Feb ’24JP¥2,737.00
JP¥3,146.00
+14.9%
12.0%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,251.005
Jan ’24JP¥2,778.00
JP¥3,186.00
+14.7%
11.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,115.005
Dec ’23JP¥2,725.00
JP¥3,298.00
+21.0%
9.6%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,258.005
Nov ’23JP¥2,770.00
JP¥3,298.00
+19.1%
9.6%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,212.005
Oct ’23JP¥2,887.00
JP¥3,298.00
+14.2%
9.6%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,120.005
Sep ’23JP¥2,943.00
JP¥3,278.00
+11.4%
8.9%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,167.005
Aug ’23JP¥2,911.00
JP¥3,102.00
+6.6%
12.5%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,610.00JP¥3,301.005
Jul ’23JP¥2,865.00
JP¥3,002.50
+4.8%
12.4%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,610.00JP¥3,205.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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