Subdued Growth No Barrier To Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:2579) Price
There wouldn't be many who think Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:2579) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Beverage industry in Japan is similar at about 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings
How Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Has Been Performing
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings' revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 11% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 0.3% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 2.3% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:2579
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings
Engages in the purchases, sales, bottling, packaging, distribution and marketing of carbonated beverages, coffee beverages, tea-based beverages, mineral water, and other soft drinks in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.
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