Stock Analysis
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Morinaga&Co., Ltd. (TSE:2201) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Morinaga&Co
How Much Debt Does Morinaga&Co Carry?
As you can see below, Morinaga&Co had JP¥19.0b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥35.7b in cash, so it actually has JP¥16.7b net cash.
A Look At Morinaga&Co's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Morinaga&Co had liabilities of JP¥55.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥27.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥35.7b and JP¥33.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total JP¥14.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given Morinaga&Co has a market capitalization of JP¥252.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Morinaga&Co boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Also positive, Morinaga&Co grew its EBIT by 30% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Morinaga&Co's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Morinaga&Co has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Morinaga&Co recorded free cash flow of 29% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Morinaga&Co has JP¥16.7b in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 30% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Morinaga&Co's use of debt is risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Morinaga&Co, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:2201
Morinaga&Co
Manufactures, purchases, and sells confectionaries, food stuffs, frozen desserts, and health products in Japan and internationally.