ENEOS Holdings, Inc.

TSE:5020 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥2.2t

ENEOS Holdings Valuation

Is 5020 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5020 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5020 (¥792.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1005)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5020 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5020?

Key metric: As 5020 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5020. This is calculated by dividing 5020's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5020's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.9x
EarningsJP¥184.60b
Market CapJP¥2.20t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5020's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5020 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.1x
5019 Idemitsu KosanLtd
8.3x3.1%JP¥1.4t
5021 Cosmo Energy Holdings
8.6x8.2%JP¥569.6b
8133 Itochu EnexLtd
14.5xn/aJP¥185.6b
8097 San-Ai Obbli
12.9xn/aJP¥129.7b
5020 ENEOS Holdings
11.9x10.9%JP¥2.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5020 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (11.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5020's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5020 11.9xIndustry Avg. 10.3xNo. of Companies38PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5020 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5020's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5020 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ratio8.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5020 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5020 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥792.20
JP¥898.57
+13.4%
15.4%JP¥1,100.00JP¥670.00n/a7
Nov ’25JP¥771.10
JP¥890.00
+15.4%
14.9%JP¥1,100.00JP¥670.00n/a7
Oct ’25JP¥788.30
JP¥873.75
+10.8%
16.6%JP¥1,100.00JP¥670.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥789.50
JP¥866.25
+9.7%
17.5%JP¥1,100.00JP¥670.00n/a8
Aug ’25JP¥754.90
JP¥847.50
+12.3%
18.4%JP¥1,100.00JP¥670.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥842.30
JP¥827.50
-1.8%
17.2%JP¥1,100.00JP¥670.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥810.40
JP¥748.75
-7.6%
14.4%JP¥950.00JP¥570.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥708.10
JP¥737.50
+4.2%
12.2%JP¥860.00JP¥570.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥697.80
JP¥726.25
+4.1%
12.8%JP¥860.00JP¥570.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥656.20
JP¥670.00
+2.1%
16.5%JP¥860.00JP¥470.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥598.90
JP¥637.14
+6.4%
14.1%JP¥740.00JP¥470.00n/a7
Jan ’25JP¥560.40
JP¥634.29
+13.2%
14.1%JP¥740.00JP¥470.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥586.80
JP¥616.25
+5.0%
14.6%JP¥740.00JP¥470.00n/a8
Nov ’24JP¥568.50
JP¥597.50
+5.1%
12.5%JP¥690.00JP¥470.00JP¥771.108
Oct ’24JP¥589.90
JP¥600.00
+1.7%
13.0%JP¥700.00JP¥470.00JP¥788.308
Sep ’24JP¥556.60
JP¥581.25
+4.4%
12.2%JP¥690.00JP¥470.00JP¥789.508
Aug ’24JP¥521.00
JP¥546.25
+4.8%
15.9%JP¥690.00JP¥440.00JP¥754.908
Jul ’24JP¥494.40
JP¥532.50
+7.7%
15.1%JP¥690.00JP¥440.00JP¥842.308
Jun ’24JP¥465.80
JP¥532.50
+14.3%
15.1%JP¥690.00JP¥440.00JP¥810.408
May ’24JP¥485.70
JP¥542.86
+11.8%
17.7%JP¥690.00JP¥450.00JP¥708.107
Apr ’24JP¥465.20
JP¥542.86
+16.7%
17.7%JP¥690.00JP¥450.00JP¥697.807
Mar ’24JP¥477.80
JP¥556.25
+16.4%
18.7%JP¥750.00JP¥450.00JP¥656.208
Feb ’24JP¥464.00
JP¥566.25
+22.0%
18.8%JP¥750.00JP¥450.00JP¥598.908
Jan ’24JP¥448.00
JP¥578.75
+29.2%
17.7%JP¥750.00JP¥450.00JP¥560.408
Dec ’23JP¥465.00
JP¥595.00
+28.0%
15.2%JP¥750.00JP¥460.00JP¥586.808
Nov ’23JP¥495.50
JP¥587.50
+18.6%
13.4%JP¥690.00JP¥460.00JP¥568.508

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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