Stock Analysis

Fuji Kosan Company, Ltd.'s (TSE:5009) 25% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio

TSE:5009
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Fuji Kosan Company, Ltd. (TSE:5009) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Fuji Kosan Company's P/E ratio of 14.2x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Japan is also close to 13x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Fuji Kosan Company has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Fuji Kosan Company

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:5009 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Fuji Kosan Company will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

Fuji Kosan Company's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 54% gain to the company's bottom line. As a result, it also grew EPS by 16% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Fuji Kosan Company is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Fuji Kosan Company's P/E?

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Fuji Kosan Company looks quite average now. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Fuji Kosan Company revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Fuji Kosan Company that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.