Stock Analysis

With A 25% Price Drop For eGuarantee, Inc. (TSE:8771) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

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TSE:8771

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the eGuarantee, Inc. (TSE:8771) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 32% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may still consider eGuarantee as a stock to potentially avoid with its 19x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

eGuarantee's earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for eGuarantee

TSE:8771 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on eGuarantee.

Is There Enough Growth For eGuarantee?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like eGuarantee's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 52% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% per year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 9.6% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that eGuarantee's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

There's still some solid strength behind eGuarantee's P/E, if not its share price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of eGuarantee's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for eGuarantee you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.