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IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. (TSE:8707) Stock's 28% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. (TSE:8707) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 3.2% over the last twelve months.
Although its price has dipped substantially, IwaiCosmo Holdings may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.4x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, IwaiCosmo Holdings has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for IwaiCosmo Holdings
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on IwaiCosmo Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Growth For IwaiCosmo Holdings?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as IwaiCosmo Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 49% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 32% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.8% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's peculiar that IwaiCosmo Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From IwaiCosmo Holdings' P/E?
IwaiCosmo Holdings' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of IwaiCosmo Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with IwaiCosmo Holdings (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on IwaiCosmo Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:8707
IwaiCosmo Holdings
Provides financial services using information technology in Japan.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.