Stock Analysis

Even With A 43% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Kyokuto Securities Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:8706) Performance Completely

TSE:8706
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Kyokuto Securities Co., Ltd. (TSE:8706) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 43% share price jump in the last month. The annual gain comes to 128% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may still consider Kyokuto Securities as an attractive investment with its 12.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Kyokuto Securities has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Kyokuto Securities

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:8706 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 13th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kyokuto Securities will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Kyokuto Securities' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 382% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 244% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Kyokuto Securities is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Kyokuto Securities' P/E

Kyokuto Securities' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Kyokuto Securities currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kyokuto Securities you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kyokuto Securities is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.