Japan Exchange Group, Inc. (TSE:8697) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to ¥21.00 on the 2nd of December. The yield is still above the industry average at 3.6%.
Japan Exchange Group's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. The last dividend was quite comfortably covered by Japan Exchange Group's earnings, but it was a bit tighter on the cash flow front. By paying out so much of its cash flows, this could indicate that the company has limited opportunities for investment and growth.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 2.6%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 88%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
View our latest analysis for Japan Exchange Group
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥11.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥53.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 17% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Japan Exchange Group Could Grow Its Dividend
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Japan Exchange Group has been growing its earnings per share at 6.0% a year over the past five years. Since earnings per share is growing at an acceptable rate, and the payout policy is balanced, we think the company is positioning itself well to grow earnings and dividends in the future.
In Summary
Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. While Japan Exchange Group is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Japan Exchange Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8697
Japan Exchange Group
Operates as a financial instruments exchange holding company in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.
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