The board of Ichiyoshi Securities Co., Ltd. (TSE:8624) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥17.00 per share on the 26th of November. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 4.2%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
Ichiyoshi Securities' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Ichiyoshi Securities was paying out a fairly large proportion of earnings, and it wasn't generating positive free cash flows either. We think that this practice can make the dividend quite risky in the future.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 16.4% if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 75% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.
See our latest analysis for Ichiyoshi Securities
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥48.00 total annually to ¥34.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 3.4% a year during that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Ichiyoshi Securities Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Ichiyoshi Securities has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 16% per annum. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. Strong earnings growth means Ichiyoshi Securities has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Ichiyoshi Securities (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about. Is Ichiyoshi Securities not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8624
Ichiyoshi Securities
Provides investment and financial services in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet with questionable track record.
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