Stock Analysis

Retail investors who have a significant stake must be disappointed along with institutions after Nomura Holdings, Inc.'s (TSE:8604) market cap dropped by JP¥87b

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TSE:8604

Key Insights

  • The considerable ownership by retail investors in Nomura Holdings indicates that they collectively have a greater say in management and business strategy
  • The top 25 shareholders own 42% of the company
  • Institutions own 48% of Nomura Holdings

A look at the shareholders of Nomura Holdings, Inc. (TSE:8604) can tell us which group is most powerful. With 51% stake, retail investors possess the maximum shares in the company. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Following a 3.2% decrease in the stock price last week, retail investors suffered the most losses, but institutions who own 48% stock also took a hit.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Nomura Holdings.

View our latest analysis for Nomura Holdings

TSE:8604 Ownership Breakdown January 14th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Nomura Holdings?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Nomura Holdings already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Nomura Holdings, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

TSE:8604 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 14th 2025

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Nomura Holdings. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is BlackRock, Inc. with 9.3% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 4.1% and 3.7%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

On studying our ownership data, we found that 25 of the top shareholders collectively own less than 50% of the share register, implying that no single individual has a majority interest.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Nomura Holdings

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own less than 1% of Nomura Holdings, Inc.. As it is a large company, we'd only expect insiders to own a small percentage of it. But it's worth noting that they own JP¥2.0b worth of shares. It is good to see board members owning shares, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a substantial 51% stake in Nomura Holdings, suggesting it is a fairly popular stock. This level of ownership gives investors from the wider public some power to sway key policy decisions such as board composition, executive compensation, and the dividend payout ratio.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Nomura Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks for example - Nomura Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nomura Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.