Stock Analysis

SBI ARUHI's (TSE:7198) Dividend Will Be ¥20.00

TSE:7198
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The board of SBI ARUHI Corporation (TSE:7198) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 24th of June, with investors receiving ¥20.00 per share. The yield is still above the industry average at 4.4%.

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SBI ARUHI's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, SBI ARUHI's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.

EPS is set to grow by 20.1% over the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continues, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 95% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.

historic-dividend
TSE:7198 Historic Dividend February 27th 2024

SBI ARUHI's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

It's comforting to see that SBI ARUHI has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. The annual payment during the last 6 years was ¥22.00 in 2018, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥40.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% a year over that time. SBI ARUHI has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Over the past five years, it looks as though SBI ARUHI's EPS has declined at around 20% a year. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

We should note that SBI ARUHI has issued stock equal to 25% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for SBI ARUHI you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning. Is SBI ARUHI not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.