Stock Analysis

Earnings Miss: Nihon M&A Center Holdings Inc. Missed EPS By 54% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

TSE:2127
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The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Nihon M&A Center Holdings Inc. (TSE:2127), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its first-quarter results last week. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of JP¥7.6b missed by 20%, and statutory earnings per share of JP¥2.74 fell short of forecasts by 54%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Nihon M&A Center Holdings

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TSE:2127 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 2nd 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Nihon M&A Center Holdings' seven analysts is for revenues of JP¥48.3b in 2025. This reflects a notable 11% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to accumulate 5.8% to JP¥35.60. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of JP¥48.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥36.09 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of JP¥894, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Nihon M&A Center Holdings analyst has a price target of JP¥1,180 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥700. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Nihon M&A Center Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 15% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 6.9% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 3.6% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Nihon M&A Center Holdings to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥894, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Nihon M&A Center Holdings going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Nihon M&A Center Holdings .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.