Nihon M&A Center Holdings Inc.

TSE:2127 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥199.2b

Nihon M&A Center Holdings Valuation

Is 2127 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2127 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2127 (¥628.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥839.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2127 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2127?

Key metric: As 2127 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2127. This is calculated by dividing 2127's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2127's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.5x
EarningsJP¥10.76b
Market CapJP¥199.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2127's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2127 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.8x
8628 Matsui Securities
24.5x12.7%JP¥213.6b
9552 M&A Research Institute Holdings
21.6x30.6%JP¥125.2b
8609 Okasan Securities Group
10.8x-4.4%JP¥127.8b
8698 Monex Group
14.4x-7.3%JP¥268.9b
2127 Nihon M&A Center Holdings
18.5x10.2%JP¥199.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2127 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2127's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Capital Markets Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7176 Simplex Financial Holdings
1.3xn/aUS$59.77m
No more companies available in this PE range
2127 18.5xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2127 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the JP Capital Markets industry average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2127's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2127 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2127 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2127 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥628.10
JP¥846.25
+34.7%
23.0%JP¥1,180.00JP¥500.00n/a8
Nov ’25JP¥671.80
JP¥831.25
+23.7%
23.4%JP¥1,180.00JP¥500.00n/a8
Oct ’25JP¥655.00
JP¥855.00
+30.5%
22.8%JP¥1,180.00JP¥500.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥677.70
JP¥868.75
+28.2%
22.3%JP¥1,180.00JP¥500.00n/a8
Aug ’25JP¥715.00
JP¥893.75
+25.0%
17.1%JP¥1,180.00JP¥700.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥820.80
JP¥912.50
+11.2%
18.3%JP¥1,180.00JP¥700.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥727.60
JP¥925.00
+27.1%
18.3%JP¥1,180.00JP¥700.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥774.30
JP¥926.25
+19.6%
18.0%JP¥1,180.00JP¥700.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥972.70
JP¥971.11
-0.2%
20.5%JP¥1,300.00JP¥700.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥1,003.50
JP¥867.50
-13.6%
22.4%JP¥1,300.00JP¥700.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥894.20
JP¥867.50
-3.0%
22.4%JP¥1,300.00JP¥700.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥777.70
JP¥897.88
+15.5%
38.7%JP¥1,783.00JP¥700.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥684.80
JP¥917.88
+34.0%
37.7%JP¥1,783.00JP¥700.00n/a8
Nov ’24JP¥662.20
JP¥1,056.14
+59.5%
35.9%JP¥1,783.00JP¥700.00JP¥671.807
Oct ’24JP¥719.50
JP¥1,127.57
+56.7%
32.0%JP¥1,783.00JP¥700.00JP¥655.007
Sep ’24JP¥833.60
JP¥1,127.57
+35.3%
32.0%JP¥1,783.00JP¥700.00JP¥677.707
Aug ’24JP¥783.30
JP¥1,184.71
+51.2%
25.7%JP¥1,783.00JP¥800.00JP¥715.007
Jul ’24JP¥1,098.50
JP¥1,241.86
+13.1%
21.0%JP¥1,783.00JP¥960.00JP¥820.807
Jun ’24JP¥1,005.00
JP¥1,239.00
+23.3%
21.3%JP¥1,783.00JP¥940.00JP¥727.607
May ’24JP¥1,068.00
JP¥1,409.13
+31.9%
30.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥940.00JP¥774.308
Apr ’24JP¥984.00
JP¥1,826.88
+85.7%
17.1%JP¥2,215.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥972.708
Mar ’24JP¥1,117.00
JP¥1,826.88
+63.6%
17.1%JP¥2,215.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,003.508
Feb ’24JP¥1,367.00
JP¥1,873.57
+37.1%
15.1%JP¥2,215.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥894.207
Jan ’24JP¥1,629.00
JP¥2,036.43
+25.0%
7.9%JP¥2,215.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥777.707
Dec ’23JP¥1,927.00
JP¥2,050.71
+6.4%
10.1%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥684.807
Nov ’23JP¥1,695.00
JP¥2,050.71
+21.0%
10.1%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥662.207

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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