Okasan Securities Group Inc.

TSE:8609 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥127.8b

Okasan Securities Group Valuation

Is 8609 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8609 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8609 (¥634) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥550.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8609 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8609?

Key metric: As 8609 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8609. This is calculated by dividing 8609's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8609's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.8x
EarningsJP¥11.85b
Market CapJP¥127.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8609's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8609 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
8616 Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings
11.2x10.7%JP¥118.8b
9552 M&A Research Institute Holdings
21.6x30.6%JP¥125.2b
2127 Nihon M&A Center Holdings
18.5x10.2%JP¥199.2b
6080 M&A Capital PartnersLtd
18.1x14.9%JP¥81.0b
8609 Okasan Securities Group
10.8x-4.4%JP¥127.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8609 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8609's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Capital Markets Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7176 Simplex Financial Holdings
1.3xn/aUS$59.77m
No more companies available in this PE range
8609 10.8xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8609 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the JP Capital Markets industry average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8609's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8609 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8609 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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