With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.2x Fuji Kyuko Co., Ltd. (TSE:9010) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been advantageous for Fuji Kyuko as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Fuji Kyuko
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Fuji Kyuko will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Fuji Kyuko's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 223%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 9.6% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 11%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Fuji Kyuko is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Fuji Kyuko's P/E
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Fuji Kyuko's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings are highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Fuji Kyuko that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Fuji Kyuko's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9010
Fuji Kyuko
Engages in transportation, tourism, distribution service, real estate, civil engineering and construction, and information technology businesses in Japan.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.