Stock Analysis

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Riso Kyoiku Co., Ltd. (TSE:4714) For Its Next Dividend

Riso Kyoiku Co., Ltd. (TSE:4714) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Riso Kyoiku's shares before the 27th of February to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 12th of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥10.00 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of JP¥10.00 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Riso Kyoiku has a trailing yield of 3.7% on the current stock price of JP¥268.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Riso Kyoiku's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to investigate whether Riso Kyoiku can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

View our latest analysis for Riso Kyoiku

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Its dividend payout ratio is 90% of profit, which means the company is paying out a majority of its earnings. The relatively limited profit reinvestment could slow the rate of future earnings growth. We'd be worried about the risk of a drop in earnings. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It paid out 106% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

Riso Kyoiku does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

While Riso Kyoiku's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Riso Kyoiku's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see how much of its profit Riso Kyoiku paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
TSE:4714 Historic Dividend February 23rd 2025

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. That explains why we're not overly excited about Riso Kyoiku's flat earnings over the past five years. We'd take that over an earnings decline any day, but in the long run, the best dividend stocks all grow their earnings per share.

We'd also point out that Riso Kyoiku issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. It's hard to grow dividends per share when a company keeps creating new shares.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Riso Kyoiku has delivered an average of 13% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past nine years of dividend payments.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Riso Kyoiku? Earnings per share have not grown and Riso Kyoiku's profit payout ratio looks reasonable. However, it paid out a disconcertingly high percentage of its cashflow, which is a worry. Bottom line: Riso Kyoiku has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Riso Kyoiku. To help with this, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Riso Kyoiku that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:4714

Riso Kyoiku Group

Operates TOMAS private study Juku schools for elementary, middle, and high school students in Japan.

Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.

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