Oriental Land Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Oriental Land is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.5% and 6.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.5% in 3 years.

Key information

9.5%

Earnings growth rate

9.7%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth12.6%
Revenue growth rate6.7%
Future return on equity12.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Oriental Land Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Nov 03
Oriental Land Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Earnings Miss: Oriental Land Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 6.3% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Aug 01
Earnings Miss: Oriental Land Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 6.3% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Recent updates

Oriental Land Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Nov 03
Oriental Land Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Returns On Capital At Oriental Land (TSE:4661) Have Hit The Brakes

Oct 25
Returns On Capital At Oriental Land (TSE:4661) Have Hit The Brakes

Oriental Land Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4661) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Oct 04
Oriental Land Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4661) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Is Now The Time To Put Oriental Land (TSE:4661) On Your Watchlist?

Sep 19
Is Now The Time To Put Oriental Land (TSE:4661) On Your Watchlist?

Is Oriental Land (TSE:4661) A Risky Investment?

Aug 19
Is Oriental Land (TSE:4661) A Risky Investment?

Earnings Miss: Oriental Land Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 6.3% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Aug 01
Earnings Miss: Oriental Land Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 6.3% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Oriental Land (TSE:4661) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Jul 27
Oriental Land (TSE:4661) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

There's Reason For Concern Over Oriental Land Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4661) Price

Jun 20
There's Reason For Concern Over Oriental Land Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4661) Price

Is Oriental Land (TSE:4661) A Risky Investment?

May 21
Is Oriental Land (TSE:4661) A Risky Investment?

The Returns At Oriental Land (TSE:4661) Aren't Growing

Apr 16
The Returns At Oriental Land (TSE:4661) Aren't Growing

Does Oriental Land (TSE:4661) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Mar 13
Does Oriental Land (TSE:4661) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Oriental Land Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4661) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Feb 27
Oriental Land Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4661) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:4661 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/2027778,226152,37265,197221,68515
3/31/2026733,058139,37465,816204,34717
3/31/2025685,241123,68287,132175,96217
9/30/2024631,430111,19985,767180,782N/A
6/30/2024626,310117,237N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2024618,493120,225144,981197,674N/A
12/31/2023598,374120,503N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2023563,410108,82499,101190,156N/A
6/30/2023525,56196,068N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2023483,12380,73474,524167,729N/A
12/31/2022436,44069,281N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2022382,20348,71730,478112,984N/A
6/30/2022324,07326,231N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2022275,7288,067-50,59954,602N/A
12/31/2021223,781-26,614N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2021209,000-38,286-100,1208,146N/A
6/30/2021214,238-35,378N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2021170,581-54,190-140,783-23,834N/A
12/31/2020211,358-37,503N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2020275,171-10,962-133,445-10,309N/A
6/30/2020350,06214,423N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2020464,45062,217-60,99673,336N/A
12/31/2019516,18686,918N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2019523,35990,001-3,318123,930N/A
6/30/2019525,42892,067N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2019525,62290,28651,123134,974N/A
12/31/2018514,42586,099N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2018497,38882,07564,215123,787N/A
6/30/2018490,15281,398N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2018479,28081,191N/A122,860N/A
12/31/2017481,67686,507N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2017482,79686,744N/A125,211N/A
6/30/2017480,64487,014N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2017477,74882,374N/A117,611N/A
12/31/2016471,46975,947N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2016470,85176,101N/A119,372N/A
6/30/2016469,03774,687N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2016465,35373,928N/A110,910N/A
12/31/2015468,64374,511N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2015465,60271,677N/A108,286N/A
6/30/2015465,34970,461N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2015466,29172,063N/A105,513N/A
12/31/2014459,45068,408N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2014466,26070,952N/A107,904N/A
6/30/2014470,74671,433N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2014473,57270,571N/A120,674N/A
12/31/2013456,63067,631N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4661's forecast earnings growth (9.5% per year) is above the savings rate (0.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 4661's earnings (9.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (7.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4661's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4661's revenue (6.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (4.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4661's revenue (6.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4661's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.5%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 07:29
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Oriental Land Co., Ltd. is covered by 37 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yuki OkishioBarclays
James MoonBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Yoshitaka NagaoBofA Global Research