Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, PIA Corporation (TSE:4337) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for PIA
What Is PIA's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that PIA had JP¥18.6b of debt in March 2024, down from JP¥21.2b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥33.9b in cash, so it actually has JP¥15.3b net cash.
How Strong Is PIA's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that PIA had liabilities of JP¥65.1b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥19.6b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥33.9b in cash and JP¥28.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥22.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since PIA has a market capitalization of JP¥41.4b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, PIA also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
On top of that, PIA grew its EBIT by 48% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since PIA will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While PIA has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, PIA actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
While PIA does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of JP¥15.3b. The cherry on top was that in converted 807% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in JP¥11b. So we don't think PIA's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for PIA that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:4337
PIA
Engages in the ticketing/publishing/planning, production, and operation of concerts and events in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet very low.