Stock Analysis

Green Monster (TSE:157A) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

TSE:157A
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Green Monster Inc. (TSE:157A) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Green Monster

How Much Debt Does Green Monster Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Green Monster had debt of JP¥558.0m, up from JP¥77.0m in one year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥1.65b in cash, leading to a JP¥1.10b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:157A Debt to Equity History January 16th 2025

How Healthy Is Green Monster's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Green Monster had liabilities of JP¥813.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥86.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥1.65b as well as receivables valued at JP¥131.0m due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥886.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that Green Monster's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, Green Monster boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Green Monster if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 44% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Green Monster's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Green Monster has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent two years, Green Monster recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Green Monster has net cash of JP¥1.10b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Green Monster's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Green Monster is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.