Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By MICREED Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:7687) Earnings Despite 27% Price Jump

Despite an already strong run, MICREED Co.,Ltd. (TSE:7687) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.5% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think MICREEDLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.3x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Japan is similar at about 13x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, MICREEDLtd's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Check out our latest analysis for MICREEDLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7687 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 13th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MICREEDLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
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How Is MICREEDLtd's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, MICREEDLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 40%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 14% per year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that MICREEDLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From MICREEDLtd's P/E?

MICREEDLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that MICREEDLtd currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Having said that, be aware MICREEDLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than MICREEDLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:7687

MICREEDLtd

Engages in the mail-order sale of commercial ingredients to small and medium restaurants in Japan.

Flawless balance sheet and good value.

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