Stock Analysis

ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN's (TSE:2692) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

TSE:2692
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The board of ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN Co., Ltd. (TSE:2692) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 33% on the 23rd of June to ¥80.00, up from last year's comparable payment of ¥60.00. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 1.6%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN

ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Prior to this announcement, ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 20.1% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 18% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

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TSE:2692 Historic Dividend March 2nd 2025

ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN Has A Solid Track Record

Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥68.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥120.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.8% a year over that time. Companies like this can be very valuable over the long term, if the decent rate of growth can be maintained.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. It's encouraging to see that ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN has been growing its earnings per share at 20% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

Our Thoughts On ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN's Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. You can also discover whether shareholders are aligned with insider interests by checking our visualisation of insider shareholdings and trades in ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN stock. Is ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.