The board of Cawachi Limited (TSE:2664) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 13th of June, with investors receiving ¥80.00 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 3.2%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for Cawachi
Cawachi's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Cawachi's dividend was only 41% of earnings, however it was paying out 175% of free cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 17.3% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 36%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥45.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥80.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 5.9% per annum over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Cawachi has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 17% per annum. The lack of cash flows does make us a bit cautious though, especially when it comes to the future of the dividend.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Cawachi's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Cawachi (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:2664
Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.